02147nas a2200301   4500008004100000022001400041245009600055210006900151260001600220520124900236100002101485700002401506700001401530700001401544700002201558700001701580700001701597700001701614700002301631700001701654700001801671700001501689700001901704700001801723700001501741700001801756856007101774       2015                        eng d  a1546-169600aPrediction of human population responses to toxic compounds by a collaborative competition.0 aPrediction of human population responses to toxic compounds by a  c2015 Aug 103 aThe ability to computationally predict the effects of toxic compounds on humans could help address the deficiencies of current chemical safety testing. Here, we report the results from a community-based DREAM challenge to predict toxicities of environmental compounds with potential adverse health effects for human populations. We measured the cytotoxicity of 156 compounds in 884 lymphoblastoid cell lines for which genotype and transcriptional data are available as part of the Tox21 1000 Genomes Project. The challenge participants developed algorithms to predict interindividual variability of toxic response from genomic profiles and population-level cytotoxicity data from structural attributes of the compounds. 179 submitted predictions were evaluated against an experimental data set to which participants were blinded. Individual cytotoxicity predictions were better than random, with modest correlations (Pearson’s r < 0.28), consistent with complex trait genomic prediction. In contrast, predictions of population-level response to different compounds were higher (r < 0.66). The results highlight the possibility of predicting health risks associated with unknown compounds, although risk estimation accuracy remains suboptimal.1 aEduati, Federica1 aMangravite, Lara, M1 aWang, Tao1 aTang, Hao1 aBare, Christopher1 aHuang, Ruili1 aNorman, Thea1 aKellen, Mike1 aMenden, Michael, P1 aYang, Jichen1 aZhan, Xiaowei1 aZhong, Rui1 aXiao, Guanghua1 aXia, Menghang1 aAbdo, Nour1 aKosyk, Oksana  uhttp://www.nature.com/nbt/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nbt.3299.html